Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.170073 0.191445 0.213874 0.239115 0.266674 0.295794 0.328834
2025-03-16 0.140207 0.168844 0.200473 0.237809 0.280484 0.327545 0.383164
2025-03-23 0.122369 0.156194 0.195208 0.243132 0.299990 0.364861 0.444016
2025-03-30 0.105763 0.142539 0.186690 0.242912 0.311859 0.392896 0.494526
2025-04-06 0.092362 0.130981 0.179097 0.242406 0.322379 0.418868 0.542794
2025-04-13 0.081250 0.120930 0.172123 0.241548 0.331640 0.442922 0.588900
2025-04-20 0.073436 0.114278 0.168671 0.244467 0.345201 0.472210 0.641897
2025-04-27 0.068087 0.110357 0.168295 0.251012 0.363282 0.507397 0.703010
2025-05-04 0.061716 0.104276 0.164335 0.252183 0.373918 0.532947 0.752142
2025-05-11 0.057539 0.100955 0.163850 0.257845 0.390500 0.566460 0.812228
2025-05-18 0.054061 0.098319 0.164038 0.264245 0.408072 0.601538 0.875039
2025-05-25 0.048818 0.092392 0.158882 0.262504 0.413959 0.620758 0.916878
2025-06-01 0.044463 0.087598 0.155229 0.262926 0.423156 0.645127 0.966917
2025-06-08 0.040148 0.082430 0.150585 0.261496 0.429453 0.665485 1.011825
2025-06-15 0.037803 0.080406 0.150712 0.267224 0.446279 0.700897 1.078242
2025-06-22 0.034489 0.076319 0.147178 0.266979 0.454065 0.723528 1.127166
2025-06-29 0.031452 0.072417 0.143634 0.266431 0.461211 0.745247 1.175106
2025-07-06 0.028651 0.068657 0.140028 0.265503 0.467591 0.765844 1.221722
2025-07-13 0.026769 0.066487 0.138991 0.268649 0.480275 0.795868 1.282395
2025-07-20 0.025633 0.065695 0.140304 0.275703 0.499228 0.835533 1.357760
2025-07-27 0.023749 0.063158 0.138285 0.276963 0.508922 0.861465 1.413446
2025-08-03 0.022670 0.062214 0.139101 0.283064 0.526495 0.899585 1.487717
2025-08-10 0.021762 0.061549 0.140372 0.289956 0.545487 0.940192 1.566344